Cavalcanti Favoured in Nunes Showdown at UFC Vegas 96
Jacqueline Cavalcanti will face Josiane Nunes in a highly anticipated women's bantamweight clash at UFC Vegas 96 on Saturday, 24 August 2024. The fight, set to take place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, has Cavalcanti as the betting favourite at -192, while Nunes sits at +160.
Cavalcanti, with a record of 6-1-0, enters the contest with a clear height and reach advantage over Nunes. The 26-year-old stands at 5'8" with a 70" reach, compared to Nunes' 5'2" and 67" reach. This physical advantage could prove crucial in the striking department, as Cavalcanti lands a higher average of 8.40 significant strikes per minute compared to Nunes' 5.99. She also boasts a better striking accuracy, connecting on 57% of her significant strikes compared to Nunes' 44%.
On the defensive side, Cavalcanti absorbs fewer significant strikes per minute (2.60) than Nunes (5.25). Cavalcanti also demonstrates a superior ability to deflect incoming strikes, with an 84% significant strike defence rate compared to Nunes' 53%.
However, Nunes, with a record of 10-2-0, shouldn't be underestimated. While her striking output and accuracy fall short of Cavalcanti's, she demonstrates a strong wrestling game. Nunes lands takedowns at a higher rate (15%) compared to Cavalcanti (15%), while also displaying a better takedown defence rate (58% compared to 85%).
In their previous bouts, Cavalcanti secured a unanimous decision victory over Zarah Fairn, displaying a strong striking performance with a 57% significant strike accuracy. Nunes, on the other hand, suffered a unanimous decision loss to Chelsea Chandler, despite demonstrating a strong distance striking game.
While Cavalcanti appears to have the edge in striking and defensive capabilities, Nunes' grappling expertise could pose a significant threat. The fight promises to be a thrilling encounter, with both fighters bringing their unique skillsets to the Octagon.
The event also features other notable fights, including Wang Cong versus Victoria Leonardo, and Tabatha Ricci against Angela Hill.
Expert Prediction: Guy Bruhn predicts Cavalcanti to win, favouring her superior striking and defensive abilities.
