Oscar Predictions 2025: Julianne Moore Enters the Race
The 2025 Oscars are still over a year away, but the race is already heating up. Gold Derby's predictions center, which opened on July 1st, 2024, has seen over 2,100 users make their forecasts for the top eight categories, including Best Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, and Screenplay.
As of July 23rd, there's a new contender in the Best Supporting Actress category: Julianne Moore for her role in "The Room Next Door," Pedro Almodóvar's first English-language film. Moore, a five-time Oscar nominee and winner for "Still Alice" (2014), adds another layer of intrigue to the already competitive race.
Gold Derby's predictions are based on a combination of forecasts from experts, editors, top-performing users, and the general user base. These odds are updated weekly to reflect new information and shifts in the industry.
Here's a snapshot of the current Oscar racetrack odds for the top categories:
Best Picture
Predicted Nominees:
"Sing Sing" (15/2)
"Dune: Part Two" (8/1)
"Blitz" (9/1)
"Conclave" (19/2)
"Anora" (19/2)
"Emilia Perez" (12/1)
"Joker: Folie à Deux" (15/1)
"Nickel Boys" (16/1)
"Gladiator II" (18/1)
"A Real Pain" (28/1)
Predicted Spoilers: "The Piano Lesson," "The Seed of the Sacred Fig," "Wicked," "Hard Truths," "Nightbitch"
Best Director
Predicted Nominees:
Steve McQueen ("Blitz") (9/2)
Sean Baker ("Anora") (5/1)
Denis Villeneuve ("Dune: Part Two") (11/2)
Edward Berger ("Conclave") (8/1)
Greg Kwedar ("Sing Sing") (19/2)
Predicted Spoilers: Ridley Scott ("Gladiator II"), Jacques Audiard ("Emilia Perez"), Mohammad Rasoulof ("The Seed of the Sacred Fig"), Todd Phillips ("Joker: Folie à Deux"), Marielle Heller ("Nightbitch")
Best Actress
Predicted Nominees:
Amy Adams ("Nightbitch") (9/2)
Mikey Madison ("Anora") (11/2)
Karla Sofia Gascon ("Emilia Perez") (13/2)
Saoirse Ronan ("Blitz") (13/2)
Lady Gaga ("Joker: Folie à Deux") (15/2)
Predicted Spoilers: Marianne Jean-Baptiste ("Hard Truths"), June Squibb ("Thelma"), Tilda Swinton ("The Room Next Door"), Saoirse Ronan ("The Outrun"), Florence Pugh ("We Live in Time")
Best Actor
Predicted Nominees:
Colman Domingo ("Sing Sing") (69/20)
Ralph Fiennes ("Conclave") (4/1)
Joaquin Phoenix ("Joker: Folie à Deux") (6/1)
John David Washington ("The Piano Lesson") (8/1)
Paul Mescal ("Gladiator II") (17/2)
Predicted Spoilers: Sebastian Stan ("A Different Man"), Jesse Eisenberg ("A Real Pain"), Jesse Plemons ("Kinds of Kindness"), Ethan Herisse ("Nickel Boys"), Andrew Garfield ("We Live in Time")
Best Supporting Actress
Predicted Nominees:
Danielle Deadwyler ("The Piano Lesson") (4/1)
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor ("Nickel Boys") (9/2)
Zoe Saldana ("Emilia Perez") (11/2)
Isabella Rossellini ("Conclave") (11/2)
Julianne Moore ("The Room Next Door") (13/1)
Predicted Spoilers: Toni Collette ("Juror #2"), Joan Chen ("Didi"), Selena Gomez ("Emilia Perez"), Carrie Coon ("His Three Daughters"), Natasha Lyonne ("His Three Daughters")
Best Supporting Actor
Predicted Nominees:
Samuel L. Jackson ("The Piano Lesson") (19/5)
Clarence Maclin ("Sing Sing") (9/2)
Kieran Culkin ("A Real Pain") (5/1)
Stanley Tucci ("Conclave") (13/2)
Denzel Washington ("Gladiator II") (7/1)
Predicted Spoilers: John Lithgow ("Conclave"), Harris Dickinson ("Blitz"), Paul Raci ("Sing Sing"), Mark Eydelshteyn ("Anora"), Pedro Pascal ("Gladiator II")
Best Adapted Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
"Sing Sing" (71/20)
"Conclave" (9/2)
"Nickel Boys" (6/1)
"Nightbitch" (15/2)
"Dune: Part Two" (17/2)
Predicted Spoilers: "The Piano Lesson," "Hit Man," "Joker: Folie à Deux," "Gladiator II," "Here"
Best Original Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
"Anora" (18/5)
"Blitz" (9/2)
"A Real Pain" (11/2)
"Hard Truths" (8/1)
"Emilia Perez" (8/1)
Predicted Spoilers: "The Room Next Door," "The Seed of the Sacred Fig," "Challengers," "The Substance," "Juror #2"
Gold Derby invites you to participate in the predictions by joining their community and making your own forecasts. You can download their app to compete against fellow users, experts, and editors for the most accurate predictions. By participating, you contribute to shaping the Oscar race and influencing the odds, adding your voice to the exciting conversation about Hollywood's biggest night.
